Sunday 9 August 2020

ASIWAJU TINUBU @68: The Narrative of His Praxis in Leadership Positioning and Succession Planning in 20years of Nigeria’s 4th Republic

Story by Razaq A. Jimoh, Toyo C. Ngem and Omotoyosi Hakeeb

Copy of the magazine's edition

 “No matter what anyone may say about me, it is unlikely that I can be accused of supporting incompetence or morally lightweight individuals for important political positions. My philosophy is to put the best forward; men and women of competence and integrity, who can stand up to us - the politicians - to challenge us and say no when necessary. Such people are not noisy or able to gain attention by being loud. I believe my role is to do all I can to project them” -- Bola Tinubu

THE contest for the office of National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in 2014 was between Chief John Odigie Oyegun and Chief Tom Ikimi. It was like a drama of the biblical script of the bout of David with Goliath in metaphorical sense.  

                The renowned Chief Ikimi had stamped his footprint in large mark on the canvass of Nigerian politics at the time. His intimidating credentials included being the National Chairman of the defunct National Republican Convention (NRC) of the Third Republic botched by the regime of Military President Ibrahim Babangida.

                He became the Foreign Affairs Minister in the Administration of General Sanni Abacha that continued the military rule after Babangida stepped aside from his self created political impasse.

Chief Tom Ikimi tackled Tinubu
In this Fourth Republic, Chief Ikimi had also being a front line party leader in the defunct Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN). In the transition from ACN to APC, he approached the purported first National Congress as Chairman of the Harmonization Committee of the new APC.

                Chief Oyegun, on the other hand, was a little known bureaucrat; a retired Permanent Secretary from the Federal Civil Service. But he turned out to be a tiny needle too dangerous for the fowl to swallow. Oyegun trounced Ikimi in the contest and became the first elected National Chairman of the APC.

                Consequent upon this, Ikimi took a swipe on Tinubu, blaming him for his loss. The disgruntled Ikimi claimed that it was Tinubu that decimated his aspiration by “imposing a political novice” on the new party as National Chairman.

                He asserted that given his political popularity, he would have won a free and fair electoral congress as the best candidate the party's top shots have recognized. But he regretted that Tinubu's support for the winner undermined his popularity.

                Tinubu also decided to reply him on the strength of his rights to a choice and how he had exercised that right against the fluid of political chicaneries. In that reply, Tinubu claimed to have adopted the principle of war against the chicaneries that had regrettably distributed charlatans into the positions of authority in Nigeria. He thus revealed what had become his political philosophy as a mission to reverse the debauchery.          

Chief Oyegun became APC Chairman
Hence he said: “No matter what anyone may say about me, it is unlikely that I can be accused of supporting incompetence or morally lightweight individuals for important political positions.

                My philosophy is to put the best forward; men and women of competence and integrity who can stand up to us (the politicians) to challenge us and say no when necessary. Such people are not noisy or able to gain attention by being loud. I believe my role is to do all I can to project them”.

                However, the journey to this stage should be an enthralling narrative readers should not be denied here. In fact it is the clearing ground to understanding the effect of this philosophy to the making of Buhari’s Presidency.

                Indeed, observers of the trending events of political history in Nigeria then were quick to wonder from Ikimi's political profile, where the meeting point of Ikimi's political ideology with Tinubu's lied to warrant Ikimi expecting Tinubu's support in such a high politically sensitive election.

                In history, and from the observable idiosyncrasies of Asiwaju Tinubu, his politics had always been diametrically opposed to chief Ikimi's.

                Until that time, Tinubu had always exhibited politics of principled convection with his guard always alert to independent mind set for outlook on altruistic social value of politics. But Ikimi had a track record of politics of convenience with his guard always alert to the whims and interest of the establishment.

                The fact of this comparism is not farfetched from their respective roles in the Nigerians' struggle to retire military from the country's politics. In line with his loose mind for politics of convenience, Ikimi endeared himself to the wishful tool of manipulation designed by the embattled military authority to perpetrate itself in politics.

                His romance with the military governments of the era paid off for him; thus making him a stout defender of the despotic killer regime of General Sanni Abacha before the international communities as then Foreign Affairs Minister. For him, it was indeed an onerous task of shielding the Abacha's killings of the pro-democracy agitators from being condemned by the foreign communities.

                On the other hand, it is an open knowledge to the Nigerian public that the democratic credentials of Asiwaju Tinubu was buoyed at incipient with his stout principle of anti-military rule campaign that ultimately earned him a life in exile when that despotic regime of Abacha marked him down for extermination.

                With the advent of this Fourth Republic, Tinubu and Ikimi did not debut their respective participation in politics on the same ideological platform. Ikimi started with the conservatives' platform, widely acknowledged to be a political relic of the exiting military politicians for successional stake in the new democratic dispensation. That party, as the identity sustains to date, is the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

                Tinubu nevertheless pitched his tent with the progressives, also acknowledged to be the political clan of the anti-military rule agitators. The successor party identity was Alliance for Democracy (AD). He so remained and sustained his building of the progressives' platform towards the enviable national positioning that would later stand the competition for powers at the centre.

Atiku and Tinubu formed the Action Congress (AC)
However, in line with Ikimi’s politics of convenience as a philosophy, the tidal wave of Nigeria's political ripples threw up by the Obasanjo versus Atiku feud would later stray him to the progressives fold with Tinubu in the late 2006. That happened when Atiku Abubakar, then the Vice President, left the PDP along with Ikimi to join force with Tinubu to found a new political platform named Action Congress (AC).

                Based on this development, political pundits were caused to divide into two schools of thought on what should be the supposed ideology of the new party – AC.

                One school described it as an attempt to refine the ideological cleavage of Nigeria's opposition democracy into its sharp clarity of the conservatives and progressives. This argument was premised on the pedigree of Atiku Abubakar as of the progressive membership in the botched Third Republic's Social Democratic Party (SDP) to which Tinubu also belonged as a Senator of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

                Atiku's PDM caucus of the time was therefore believed to have been the progressive caucus that diluted the concentration of the PDP conservative ideology in this Fourth Republic. Thus to say the emigration of Atiku camp from the PDP to mix with the Tinubu's faction of the AD to form the new AC was considered to be a new a pure breed of the progressive camp.

                But the other school of thought considered the new AC as yet another marriage of the incompatible Tinubu's pure progressive breed with the Atiku's crossed–bred progressives. Of course, this description of Atiku's camp in AC as impure breed of the progressives was informed by its composition of Chief Tom Ikimi. This is because Ikimi's Third Republic NRC was indeed a strong part of the wholesomely PDP’s conservative ideology. Thus to say this, along with other renowned Ikimi’s pedigree of romance with the military, made the potential taint on whatever integrity the new party - Ation Congress - could have to flaunt with Tinubu's visage of principled politics of altruistic mission. Added to that was also Atiku's baggage of thoroughly damaged integrity with which he exited the PDP to settle in the AC. Therefore, the coming of these two (Atiku and Ikimi) to align with Tinubu was held to be a curious amalgam with the Tinubu's clear political profile that rose on trajectory course from his thorough demystification of President Obasnajo's federal powers with which Atiku yet acquired his burden of integrity taints.

                The latter school of thought was to be later vindicated, as hostility soon busted out between Ikimi and Tinubu.

                Shortly after the 2007 general elections in which the AC fielded Atiku Abubakar as its Presidential Candidate, Ikimi was believed to have raised the dust in a manner that would fuel his suspect as a leopard that never changed its skin.  A national daily had published a supposedly false claim purported to have been made by Tinubu.

                Purportedly quoting Ikimi to have told its reporter, the newspaper wrote that Tinubu had threatened to leave the Action Congress (AC) for the PDP if Atiku did not drop his petition filed at the Presidential Election Court against the victory of President Umar Yar'adua in the 2007 presidential election.

                With Tinubu reacting to the publication as malicious commentary from Ikimi, the stage was set for hostility between the two front line politicians. And given the historical events of then nascent 8years of opposition democracy in which Tinubu had clearly cut the visage of a promising opposition leadership to the ruling PDP, knowledge of the whole truth about the issue was a desirable political benefit to Nigerians.

                For those who could discern the bloody nose PDP had suffered from Tinubu's political sagacity, Ikimi's purported commentary had simply raised a curious poser that agitated their discernible minds to a quest for the truth: that is if indeed any thought of carpet crossing could have ever crossed Tinubu's mind, much more a defection to the party he had serially defeated at electoral and legal wars. And if this was never so thoughtfully mentioned as purportedly offered to the press by Ikimi, it queried to what purpose he (Ikimi) would have contrived such fallacious idea for media feeding?

                These posers particularly took cognizance of Tinubu's successful trouncing of the PDP's presidential might at the time. Back on ground in the like of stylish easy pin fall of a wrestling bout – foot on chest, he held down the party's leader, President Obasanjo, for a victorious pose after the 2007 general election. This was despite that Obasanjo had earlier declared the election to be a mother of all electoral wars with military code as “Operation Totality”.

                Unfortunately, the National Chairman of AC, Chief Bisi Akande, denied Nigerians access to the truth. He deployed his characteristic diplomacy to clear the hostility off the media radar. He blamed the animosity on communication gap between the duo, which, according to him, was being mischievously filled by malicious media on pay roll of the ruling PDP.

Fielding question from The Punch reporter, Chief Akande explained: “Our investigation has revealed (that) the PDP is using a section of the media to cause rift within the AC. We have looked into the matter and have advised our leaders not to comment on their differences on the pages of newspapers (anymore)”.

                The conclusion of analysts was that this order perhaps killed the manifestation of truth. In their view, this would have come out in the form of either Ikimi denying being sources of the comments, given its weighty implications to his integrity if indeed the media had only bandied lies in his name. Or he maintained a grandstanding.

                Both Tinubu and Ikimi nevertheless remained members of a new progressives' party, Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) which another political exigency caused to evolve from a death of the AC.

                The ACN, as observers noted, was an ingenious move by Tinubu to purify its progressives' base with the pure visage of his ideology and leadership integrity. It was this clear cut leadership that gave Tinubu the stride to cede the presidential candidacy of ACN to the former Chairman of the Economic and Financial Crime Commission, Mallam Nuhu Ribadu, in the 2011 general election.

                This followed the first but botched attempted alliance of the Northern and Southern progressives' camps against the PDP that was already looming larger than life. The new ACN also gave Tinubu a greater fiefdom and open stride to lead the party in company of the party Chairman, Bisi Akande, into another process of alliance talk with the Buhari's Congress of the Progressives Change (CPC).

                This latter alliance talk resulted to a proposed formation of a unified progressives' party by the name All Progressives Congress (APC). While Akande was to be the protem Chairman to drive the process, Tom Ikimi was given the Chairman of harmonization committee.

                It was the new party's arrangement that zoned the first National Party Chairman to emerge from the Niger Delta geo-political zone that set the stage for the electoral contest between Chief Ikimi and Chief Oyegun as discussed above.

                The import of this narrative is to establish the testimony of Chief Ikimi to acknowledgment of the successful leadership positioning and succession praxis of Asiwaju Tinubu.

                In other words, Ikimi gave the credit of Oyegun's emergence as the pioneer elected National Chairman of APC to the hi-wire political savvy of Tinubu, but not with accolade of his enthrallment with it as enviable appreciation. It was a spit of boiling anger with effusing malice for the kingmaker. He openly acknowledged that Tinubu decimated his aspiration by 'imposing political novice on the party as National Chairman'.

                To enhancing his acknowledgment of Tinubu's superior sagacious gaming in political intrigues, Ikimi added that he would have won as the best candidate the party's top shots have known, but regretted that Tinubu's support for Oyegun undermined his popularity.

                Chief Ikimi thereafter decamped from APC to PDP only to realize that his political fortune had actually been fated to commence a slip into the abyss of perdition when the APC eventually sacked his party of political refuge from the powers of presidency and his home state, Edo, remained in the active governance of the new APC six years after he denounced his membership of it.

                However with an oxymoron of bitter sweet tale of Oyegun's epoch of the APC Chairmanship, observers have had cause to query if Oyegun could ever be described as a success story in the praxis of Tinubu’s leadership positioning. This came on the strength of the APC National Executive Committee (NEC) that caused to deny Oyegun's bid for second term on the consensus that adjudged him to have failed in providing the right leadership for the new party.

                But a section of them tried to exonerate Tinubu from this on the excuse that Oyegun simply failed to purge himself of the culture of sly associated with the profession of bureaucrat he brought to bear in the management of political party. they argued that he failed to realise that political terrain is itself the natural community of deceits and cultural ambience of unremorseful treachery.

Tinubu and Buhari going for the Alliance of the progressives
 
PERHAPS the greatest political marketing Tinuba had ever undertaken in leadership positioning was the emergence of President Muhammadu Buhari in 2015. This should be empirically so against the backdrop of a comment credited to the former President Olusegun Obasanjo in 2007 when Mallam Nuhu Ribadu and Nasir el-Rufai suggested Buhari to him for consideration as a successor. He was reported to have replied that Buhari was one political liability that could not be marketed as presidential candidate in the Southern part of Nigeria.


The significance of this corridor is to see what scientists describe as a control measure of an experiment meant to establish the theoretical fact of a seemingly hypothetical praxis of the Tinubu's leadership positioning and succession planning.

What is to be discernible from this nexus of Buhari's serial contest for the office of the President is the veritable measurable outcome expected to see if, indeed, Tinubu had any scientific formula for applying the right mix of essential variables required to achieve his serial successes in his leadership positioning praxis.

The side of President Obasanjo's consideration for Buhari in 2017 was given by Dr. Ali M'ahmoud when he responded to el-Rufai's Harvard Term Paper written on President Yar'Adua in 2009. He wrote thus:

                The truth is that two key events paved the way for the emergence of Umaru Yar'Adua as the President of Nigeria in May, 2007. The first is the total political decimation of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar by his former boss, President Obasanjo. The rubbishing of Atiku Abubakar was schemed out, funded and executed by mainly the duo of El Rufai and Nuhu Ribadu. And please it must be noted that Nasir and Nuhu moved against Atiku Abubakar in order to please Obasanjo. Atiku Abubakar almost single handedly brought both El Rufai and Ribadu to lime light during the Obasanjo years. But because of political exigencies, they sacrificed their mentor.

                In the war against the former Vice-President, the ‘team of technocratic reformers’ saw a window of opportunity to impose one of their own a member of the team on Nigerians as a possible successor to Obasanjo. Being himself foxy and crafty, President Obasanjo sensed the ambition and direction of these Turks in his government. The old fox gleefully nudged them on. It was convenient for him to keep them blindly loyal in the very important bid to halt Atiku Abubakar's bid for Presidenc

Obasanjo said Buhar was no
Related to this was Obasanjo's quest for a third term in office. El-Rufai has remained economical with the truth about his exact role in Obasanjo's doomed third terrm bid. But some of us are very much aware that Nasir El-Rufai and the so called technocratic reformers whole heartedly bought into the third term script, which was originally crafted by a number of State Governors and their allies in the private sector.

                The colossal failure of the third term bid and the apparent elimination of Abubakar from the succession ladder created a sudden vacuum. It suddenly dawned on Obasanjo that he had not given the issue of a successor a thorough thought.

                Worse still, the very crafty Obasanjo, whose original plan was to have a southerner succeed him knew that any attempt in that direction would back fire, given that the North would then perceive the persecution of Atiku Abubakar as just a ploy to push a seemingly qualified northerner off to pave a way for another southern President.

                In frustration, Obasanjo was known to have confided in a few people that he had not met any one yet that was qualified to succeed him! He equally confided that Nuhu Ribadu suggested General Muhammadu Buhari, the Presidential Candidate of the opposition All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP). While conceding that Ribadu's suggestion was not bad, Obasanjo, as gathered, lamented that Buhari may not want to cross to the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and also complained that Buhari may be difficult to market in the southern parts of the country.

                As further learnt, Nuhu Ribadu co-opted El-Rufai in the quest to  have Obsanjo back Buhari for the Presidency. Of  course this did not work out.

                But eight years after, the Buhari Obasanjo claimed to be an unmarketable political product was to become Tinubu's practical challenge in his commitment to the mission of positioning good leadership. Nevertheless, there was no doubt that he saw it as a dangerous political risk he was willing for an adventure.

                And why was it such a high risk? The AC by its replacement with ACN had made a success story of growth from the 2007 and 2011 general elections when six states of the Southwest geo-political territory had fallen back to their progressive governance. Thus in counts at the time talks on the formation of APC would begin, ACN had Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, Osun, Ekiti and Edo in its kitty of governance.

                With the proposed alliance, Tinubu knew he was moving to sacrifice his established winning party for the unknown. It was on that belief that he invented the code of “Slaughter Slab” as the creed the Buhari's Congress for Progressives Change (CPC) and Onu's All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) would have to hold by rote for their commitment to creating their newly national progressives' platform in prospect.

                He explained this on clarity of note that going for the new party by their proposed merger implied the permanent death of their respective component political parties that subsisted as their respective holding political strength in the national stake. They were bound to forfeit their parties’ certificate of registration to the INEC. But happily for them all afterwards, APC turned out a success story.

                Some analysts have argued that for one to appreciate Tinubu's success story in the Buhari project, he should first exercise his intellectual prowess in comparative reflection on the purported Obasanjo's failure at governance and succession trials to Tinubu’s success story in leadership positioning on the trot since 2003. The evident appeared laid out already.

Similarly, in evaluation of the totality of his leadership succession records in the governance of Lagos State after his governorship tenure, analysts are wont to conclude on the purported responding commentary to Ikimi that Tinubu had just made public his philosophy of leadership building not just in politics but in all fields of human endeavours. The glaring manifestation of this reasoning took its course from 2007 when one Mr Raji Babatunde Fashola was to emerge as the governorship candidate of the Action Congress – a political party that sprout from the relics of the Lagos Chapter of Alliance for Democracy (AD).

                But it did not begin without Asiwaju Tinubu making a clear enunciation of the cause as a political mission from his visionary political sagacity.

                Twice at two different fora, Tinubu was categorical about his conviction on the need for paradigm shift in our course of the emplacement of leadership of the state. The first was at Ojodu Millennium School where he addressed the prospective facilitators and enumerators for the 2006 National Census exercise of which this writer was one in audience.

                The second was at the swearing in ceremony for some new Lagos State Cabinet commissioners that included an Igbo indigene, Chief Ben Akabueze, for Budget and planning portfolio. It should worth mentioning that Akabueze has since become a count in the success story of this Tinubu's praxis of projecting people into positions of authority – people of “integrity and competence” but not noisy enough to be noticed as common to politicians. He is now the Director General of the Budget Office at the Federal level, making him another entity in President Buhari's substantial attestation to the purported qualities with which Tinubu discovered him when he got an extension of tenure as Director General, Budget Office in the presidency.

                Thus to say at that swearing in, Tinubu stated that “the act of administering a megacity like Lagos is a challenging one that must be in the hands of technocrats and able team”.

                In a curious coincidence, however, opinions from the private sector began to shape the facts of this Asiwaju's observation for consideration as a new political imperative for the nation. Then, the Nigerian political sphere had offered fears, forlorn and tension than valuable dividends of democracy anticipated from the rules of the two general elections (1999 and 2003) that failed to throw up good leadership.

   

Some pundits however believed the concurrent opinions emanating from private quarters were signs of Tinubu's private consultations with elders and leaders of thought over the marketing of his idea of leadership succession planning for Lagos State.

                For instance, just few days after Tinubu made his own statement, Dr Doyin Abiola, an icon of journalism and former MD/CEO of the defunct National Concord newspaper, made similar comments.

                Writing in one of her socio-political counseling column in Sunday Punch, she said: “Years of global bad leadership of abuse of office and oppression of human rights have shown the need to expand the scope beyond politics (and look beyond politicians) in search of leadership” – Parenthesis is writer’s.

                All this was to become a sign post of an unambiguous mission of a gifted change agent roused to a cause of intention when reconciled with the latter sterling performances of the Raji Fashola, Akinwunmi Ambode and the present Babajide Sanwo-Olu at governance of Lagos State in that succession order.

                But it was not a tea party for Tinubu to succeed in initiating that cause of state leadership shift from the politicians' cave to the technocrat sphere the Fashola appreciably represented.

                However, Asiwaju Tinubu, holding up to his conviction, would rather display the astute strength of a democrat to win their interests in his vision in AC and support for his governorship candidate – now popular as BRF. Intrigues of HI wire politicking resulting in mutual concessions and propitiation carried the day. Such was the shifting of the Lagos West Senatorial District from Ikeja as occupied by Tokunbo Afikuyomi to Mushin LGA where Ganiyu Solomon (aka GOS) got it for placation to his political stronghold.

                The Election came and gone. And today, the Fashola has become one success story of Tinubu's capacity to discern leadership potentials.